Moving

Extra individuals need to transfer to San Francisco

As SF continues to grow, we’ve also been inundated with survey data suggesting that citizens are longing to leave the country, making SF one of the most popular unpopular cities in America.

Lately, the city has had more emigration than the city – that is, more people have moved from SF to other cities than the other way around. The population was still increasing, but mainly due to other factors, such as the local birthrate.

In fact, “emigration” statistics were the first choice for SF doomed sinners to stop at some point. This is what makes the latest results from the San Francisco-based rental website Apartment List so interesting; For the first time in a long time, data shows that more people are interested in moving to the Bay Area.

In the newly released Migration Report, SF ranks fifth for cities watched by outsiders, with 42 percent of those looking for homes in the area coming from other cities.

But San Francisco came seventh among places people want to leave, with 38 percent of SF home buyers looking for homes elsewhere.

Note that “all results are aggregated at the subway level,” so the San Francisco label also encompasses a significant portion of the East Bay and Peninsula – which in this case is a good thing as it minimizes the bias caused by People who are considering moving from SF to nearby locations in the Bay Area.

Many home and apartment sites attempt similar “migration reports,” and while they are an interesting statistic, they are also limited in scope as they only reflect the users of that site.

Nevertheless, it stands out from, for example, the real estate site Redfin, which has been telling us every few months for years that its metrics indicate that more site users want to leave the Bay Area.

That trend continues in Redfin’s latest report, which ranks SF second for “runoff”.

What does all of this data mean for the average person? Well, if the apartment list is correct, and if more tenants were at least hypothetically interested in moving here in the past year, then the city could continue to grow despite the declining population growth in recent years.

And if Redfin’s competing perspective is correct, the city is likely to keep growing, as they’ve been saying the same thing for years.

The bottom line is that we can’t sit around hoping that interest in San Francisco will wane enough to solve our problems: housing, traffic, overcrowding on public transit, rental prices, market competition, and even more mundane concerns like long lines in public don’t take city flights disappear.

Keep watching the indicators, of course. In the meantime, however, the city has to work towards active solutions.

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