What Fernando Tatis Jr. transferring to outfield may imply for Padres

What Fernando Tatis Jr. moving to outfield could mean for Padres

n”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.9″:{“content”:”**2) Maybe it will improve the San Diego defense.**nnMaybe, but again, _maybe._nnThis gets tricky, because we don’t know that Tatis will be a good outfielder. No one doubts his raw athletic skills, of course, and outfield coach Wayne Kirby is certainly saying the right things.nn”He’s seeing the ball well off the bat,” [Kirby said.](https://www.mlb.com/padres/news/fernando-tatis-jr-takes-outfield-reps-batting-practice) “His instincts are impeccable. He shouldn’t have any problem. His speed will make up for the adjustment.”nnPerhaps so. [Tatis is the fastest Padre,](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/sprint_speed?year=2021&position=&team=SD&min=10) per Statcast numbers. The more confusing part is how to consider his performance at shortstop. [In 2019](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2019&endYear=2019&split=no&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=6&roles=&viz=hide&sort=5&sortDir=asc), he was baseball’s third-weakest defensive shortstop, though it wasn’t hard to see why; it wasn’t that he couldn’t get to balls, it was that [he was regularly making poor throws](https://www.mlb.com/news/fernando-tatis-jr-defense-closer-look). In 2020, he cleaned those mistakes up and was baseball’s [second-best defensive shortstop](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2020&endYear=2020&split=no&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=6&roles=&viz=hide), which totally [matched the eye test](https://www.mlb.com/news/the-quiet-change-thats-kept-fernando-tatis-a-star).nnThis year, he’s in the middle, a basically average [16th of 35](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2021&endYear=2021&split=no&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=6&roles=&viz=hide&sort=5&sortDir=desc) qualified shortstops. But even that requires further investigation, because his Outs Above Average marks, monthly, look like this:”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10″:{“content”:”**April:** -4 OAA n**May:** 0 OAA n**June**: +3 OAA n**July:** 0 OAA”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.11″:{“content”:”So after a rough start, he’s been a mild plus for the last three months. Meanwhile, neither Jake Cronenworth or Ha-Seong Kim have made it clear they’re superior at the position [in their brief opportunities](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2020&endYear=2021&split=no&team=SD&range=year&min=25&pos=6&roles=&viz=hide), and Cronenworth has started the last six games at the position, including Tuesday night.nnMeanwhile, in the outfield, [2020 Gold Glover](https://www.mlb.com/news/trent-grisham-wins-2020-nl-gold-glove) Trent Grisham is one of baseball’s [better center fielders](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2020&endYear=2021&split=no&team=&range=year&min=q&pos=8&roles=&viz=hide). Regardless of whether Grisham or Tatis might spot in right, they’d take over from Wil Myers, who has been [solid enough](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outs_above_average?type=Fielder&startYear=2020&endYear=2021&split=no&team=SD&range=year&min=25&pos=9&roles=&viz=hide) the last two seasons. San Diego [also acquired Jake Marisnick](https://www.mlb.com/news/jake-marisnick-to-padres-in-trade-deadline-deal) at the Deadline, long regarded as one of baseball’s best defensive outfielders.nnSo does this improve the defense? Only if you think Kim or Cronenworth are meaningfully better than Tatis at shortstop, and that assumes Tatis is immediately capable on the grass. Kim, however, hasn’t hit at all this year (.215/.275/.364), though he’s off to a good start in August.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12″:{“contentDate”:”2021-08-08T21:08:23.952Z”,”description”:”Jake Cronenworth belts a solo home run to right-center field, pushing the Padres’ lead to 2-0 in the 4th inning”,”duration”:”00:00:52″,”slug”:”jake-cronenworth-homers-16-on-a-fly-ball-to-right-center-field”,”source”:null,”tags”:[{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.4″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.5″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.6″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.7″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.8″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.9″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.10″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.11″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.12″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.13″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.14″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/cfnktmijltemtfqodmub”,”title”:”Jake 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feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.12″:{“slug”:”international-feed”,”title”:”International Partner feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.13″:{“slug”:”1-yahoo-fantasy-feed”,”title”:”1-Yahoo Fantasy Feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12.tags.14″:{“slug”:”yahoo-fantasy”,”title”:”Yahoo Fantasy”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.13″:{“content”:”### **3) It reduces playing time for Myers or Tommy Pham.**nnMaybe this would push Myers to the bench. Maybe, also, it would push him to left, and push Pham to the bench. Myers was fantastic in 2020 while Pham struggled; this year, [they’ve essentially performed identically,](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/splits-leaderboards?splitArr=&splitArrPitch=&position=B&autoPt=false&splitTeams=false&statType=player&statgroup=2&startDate=2021-03-01&endDate=2021-11-01&players=2967,10047&filter=&groupBy=season&sort=-1,1) slightly above-average. Given the choice of [the two of them plus Grisham plus Tatis](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/splits-leaderboards?splitArr=&splitArrPitch=&position=B&autoPt=false&splitTeams=false&statType=player&statgroup=2&startDate=2021-03-01&endDate=2021-11-01&players=2967,10047,18564,19709&filter=&groupBy=season&sort=-1,1), you’d easily pick one to bench each night. Sensible enough, but hold that thought, because …”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14″:{“content”:”### **4) It avoids the Eric Hosmer question.**nn… there’s this aspect of it, too. Once the Padres [traded for second baseman Adam Frazier,](https://www.mlb.com/news/adam-frazier-padres-trade) it was clear there would be too many infielders for not enough spots, and there were plenty of rumors flying that San Diego was [trying to move the underperforming Hosmer](https://www.mlb.com/news/eric-hosmer-padres-trade-rumors) and allow Cronenworth to play more at first base.nnThat didn’t happen, obviously. Despite a good showing in 2020 (where he played only 38 games), Hosmer has hit only .265/.323/.418 in his career for the Padres, a 102 OPS+, and -0.5 WAR ([per FanGraphs](https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eric-hosmer/3516/stats?position=1B)). Since he arrived in 2018, San Diego has had the [fourth-weakest first base production](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2018-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=21,d), and that’s not exactly what they expected from their eight-year, $144 million investment.nnIf you were to look at the [2021 rest of season projections](https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=29#ALL) (excluding the catchers), you’ll see there’s six Padres hitters projected to be better than Hosmer. Frazier is seen as similar, but he offers considerably more defensive versatility. Same thing for Kim.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.15″:{“caption”:null,”contextualCaption”:null,”contextualAspectRatio”:null,”credit”:null,”format”:”png”,”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/k3wj3mliso0dozfojgca”,”type”:”photo”,”__typename”:”PhotoPart”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).parts.16″:{“content”:”If Tatis is in the infield, then Hosmer is at best the fourth-best infield option, and potentially as low as sixth if you value the defensive versatility of Kim and Cronenworth more. If Tatis is _not_ in the infield, a lot more options open up. Uncomfortable conversations need not be had.nnUltimately, there’s still some time before any of this happens. It may never actually happen. But if it does, there’s a lot of moving parts here. It may or may not improve the defense. It probably _wouldn’t_ improve the offense, not if it gets Hosmer and/or Kim more guaranteed plate appearances. And it may or may not keep Tatis healthier, though of course if it does, that’s worth more than any other consideration.nnThe only thing we can say for sure about all of this is that if it happens, watch closely. We’ve never really seen anything like this happening in-season before.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0.data”:{“__typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0.data”,”typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”externalSourceName”:null,”slug”:”storytype-article”,”title”:”Article”,”type”:”article”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”Team:135″:{“id”:”135″,”__typename”:”Team”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”fernando-tatis-jr-move-to-outfield-effect-on-padres”,”type”:”story”}).tags.1″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:false,”id”:”Team:135″,”typename”:”Team”},”externalSourceName”:”team”,”slug”:”teamid-135″,”title”:”San 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