Jayne Jordan, 61, was a lifelong Californian until August, when she sold her home in Corona and moved to Azle, Texas.

Jordan wanted to stay close to her daughter and grandchildren, who are planning to move from Irvine to the Lone Star State next year in order to buy a home.

When she joined a Facebook group of California migrants to Texas, she found a community willing to help her choose the right moving company and weigh in on which route to take for the 1,360-mile drive.

She soon found through the Facebook group that her neighbor across the street in Azle had also moved from the same neighborhood in Corona.

“It’s a small world,” Jordan said. “A lot of people from California are moving here.”

Jordan’s move is reflective of a larger trend for California, which has seen more residents moving out over the last few years than new people moving in. In 2022, 818,000 Californians left for other states, while 476,000 moved in, resulting in a total domestic loss of 342,000 to the Golden State, according to newly released census data. But some states have been taking in more of California’s former residents than others, with Texas leading in that category.

In 41 U.S. states, more people arrived from California than moved to California last year, according to the data.

More than 100,000 Californians moved to Texas last year, compared with around 40,000 who made the opposite move. Florida drew nearly 75,000 people from California, with 30,000 moving in the opposite direction. Washington, Nevada and Florida each saw around 50,000 Californian arrivals and far fewer people move to California.

Only 42 Californians moved to West Virginia in 2022, by far the lowest total of any state.

New Jersey, the state that most bucked the trend, had around 6,600 more people move to California than arrived from the state.

Experts attribute the exodus from California primarily to the high cost of housing in the state but also to issues such as crime, politics and traffic.

As Texas booms, the state will have to contend with many of the same issues that are driving California to leave, says Mechele Dickerson, a professor of law at the University of Texas at Austin and an expert on the housing crisis.

Texas is appealing to Californians who are looking for lower housing costs and don’t mind the trade-offs.

“We have more land that can be developed,” Dickerson said.

Between July 2020 and July 2022, Texas’ housing stock grew by almost 5% — the third-biggest gain of any state. California’s housing stock increased by just 1.6% during the span.

In raw numbers, Texas added more than twice as many housing units as did California.

“Some people blame Californians for driving up housing prices, particularly in the city of Austin,” Dickerson said.

As buyers “come here with cash in hand having sold their homes in California,” she said, longtime renters are priced out of cities like Austin.

Those renters are pushed to suburbs and exurbs, which are seeing booms comparable to those in California’s suburban and exurban areas.

“We used to laugh at those people in L.A.” because of their long commutes, Dickerson said, “and now that’s what we’re seeing” as people move farther from city centers in search of affordability.

Texas is seeing rising home values that are making some areas less affordable, and cities are also grappling with other social issues Californians are familiar with.

“We have been challenged by what to do with a growing unhoused population” as low-income people are displaced by the cascading effects of a housing crisis, she said.

Though Texas has added a lot of housing, “we’re building more on the high end and not affordable housing,” Dickerson said.

California saw an exodus during the COVID-19 pandemic, as remote work and soaring home values had some residents moving to cheaper locales. Recent data show the so-called exodus — which hit coastal cities such as Los Angeles and San Francisco particularly hard — eased considerably in the last two years. The California recovery has been uneven, with some suburban areas seeing major booms while downtown San Francisco continues to struggle.

But those who have made the move say they are surprised how many transplanted Californians they find in Texas.

Locally, Dickerson said, there is a common joke: “We are becoming California, not just because the Californians are moving here.”

Issues of traffic, homelessness and affordability may have driven people to abandon California, but those issues may not be far behind in Texas’ major cities, either.

Marie Bailey, 44, moved from El Segundo to a Dallas-Fort Worth suburb in 2017. She and her husband built a home for $750,000, while a “tiny fixer upper” in El Segundo would’ve cost upward of $1 million.

The couple quickly figured out that they could capitalize on the niche in the real estate market for California migrants to Texas.

For years, Bailey has administered the Facebook group where Jayne Jordan and 45,000 others swap recommendations on how to make the move. She runs a real estate firm that places Californians all over the state.

“99% of our clientele are people moving from California,” Bailey said. As for why people make the move, “No. 1 is cost of living and No. 2 is politics.”

Texas is Republican red in the same way California is a bastion of Democratic blue, battling on issues including abortion, gun control, immigration and LGBTQ+ rights. The political difference might make some hesitant to make the move, but for others it is a major bonus.

Bailey’s husband, who was previously employed by the UCLA medical system, “wouldn’t even talk about his politics because he was afraid of losing his job,” she said.

“Nowhere is perfect,” Bailey said, “but we fit in a lot better here.”

Though clients miss the beaches and “the weather is more extreme” in Texas, by and large those who have made the move with Bailey’s firm are happy, she said.

Plus, she added, “We like not having to pay $5 or $6 per gallon in gas.” The average price of a gallon of gas in Texas was $2.91 on Nov. 3 versus $5.18 in California.

Back in Azle, Jordan and her husband are adjusting to their new life. Their family home in Corona sold in four days and they now live in a new custom build.

It’s a more rural community than what they had in Corona, so “there’s a lot of really big bugs that we’re not used to,” but otherwise Jordan and her husband are settling in.

“We have noticed people in Texas are far more friendly than in California,” she said, and the cost of living is far lower.

She also likes living in a place with less fire danger and less air pollution compared with the Inland Empire.

“No, don’t miss it at all,” she said of the state she called home for six decades.

The post Droves of Californians are shifting to Texas appeared first on DAILY SAN FRANCISCO BAY NEWS.

California used to be the land of opportunity. For years, Americans dreamed of moving to the best coast to enjoy the ocean, mountains, and the indescribable California Dream. Today, that dream has become a nightmare as more Californians leave their native land, moving to Idaho and other less liberal states.

But is it just politics that is driving folks away from California? We recently found out from Californians who’ve moved to Idaho why they left the once golden state.

We looked at how much you would pay for a cheap or expensive meal. In Idaho, a fast-food meal costs around nine dollars. In California, you’ll pay at least a dollar more—the more expensive the meal, the higher the taxes. The cost of eating out in California is almost twenty-five percent higher than food in the Gem State.

We continue to see the reports night after night of massive mobs of looters robbing stores from San Francisco to Los Angeles. The police are restrained from arresting folks; if they do, they’re let out without having to post bail. Carjacking and home burglaries, along with the continued homeless situation, make living in California a challenge at best.

In Idaho, our crime rate is low. Idahoans respect law enforcement and folks who are put in jail who commit crimes. Like California, Idaho has a homeless issue, but no one lives on the streets in Boise, Meridian, or Nampa.

It’s not unusual for Californians to spend up to four hours a day in their cars commuting to and from work. Idaho’s traffic is miniscule compared to the enormous cities in California.

8 Reasons Why Idaho Continues To Feel More Like California

These 8 reasons are why I feel like the Boise area continues to feel like California.

Gallery Credit: Kyle Matthews

California in the Top 5 Places Where People from Idaho Move to

Gallery Credit: Parker Kane

Take a Look at the 12 California Cities Sending the Most People to Boise

Our sources include Neighborhood Scout, which uses FBI crime data or their safety rankings, the American Census Bureau, BestPlaces.net, Niche.com, which allows current and former residents to grade their state/city/town and Realtor.com. Crime Index means the city is safer than (X)% of cities in America. 

Gallery Credit: Michelle Heart

The post The Prime 3 Causes Californians Are Transferring to Idaho appeared first on DAILY SAN FRANCISCO BAY NEWS.

SAN FRANCISCO — Homeless people in California are already a vulnerable group, often struggling with poor health, trauma and deep poverty before they lose their housing, according to a new study on adult homelessness.

The study released Tuesday by the University of California, San Francisco attempts to capture a comprehensive picture of how people become homeless in California, and what impeded their efforts at finding permanent housing. The representative survey of nearly 3,200 homeless people found that when they lost housing, their median household income was $960 a month, and for renters on leases it was $1,400 a month, of which on average half went to rent.

Homelessness is a national crisis, and all too pervasive in California, where an estimated 171,000 people — or 30% of all homeless people in the U.S. — are homeless. Political leaders are divided over how to address the crisis, with some, including Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom, favoring tent encampment sweeps and a tough-love approach toward those with mental health and addiction issues.

It it not groundbreaking news that the state’s exorbitant housing costs are a major driver behind homelessness, but researchers at the UCSF’s Benioff Homelessness and Housing Initiative hope that the study will strengthen public support for policies that focus on offering housing and emergency rental assistance — rather than policies emphasizing punishment or stigma.

“People are homeless because their rent is too high. And their options are too few. And they have no cushion,” said Dr. Margot Kushel, initiative director and lead investigator. “And it really makes you wonder how different things would look if we could solve that underlying problem.”

Kushel’s team surveyed nearly 3,200 adults around California, and followed up to conduct in-depth interviews with 365 people, between October 2021 and November 2022.

The study found that Black people made up 26% of the homeless population in a state where they are only 6% of the general population. About 90% of participants were living in California when they became homeless. Half reported an inability to work due to age, health or disability. The median length of homelessness was a little under two years.

More than a third of adults surveyed met the criteria for chronic homelessness, meaning they had a disabling condition and were homeless for at least 1 year — or were homeless four times in the previous three years totaling more than 12 months.

In Los Angeles in 2015, Sage Johnson’s mother was evicted from their apartment when she was unable to meet rent that had increased to $1,200. In disability pay, she received about $1,340 a month. She bounced around, from LA’s notorious Skid Row to various convalescent homes while her daughter lived at a shelter.

Later, Johnson, 28, was able to place her mother in a home, where she stayed for about two years. In 2018 though, her mother died from a debilitating stroke.

Johnson, who now has stable housing, wishes she could have done more.

“But in the end, she did have a bed. She was inside. She didn’t have any more strokes outside. And she was able to regenerate and rejuvenate and restore some of her life while in the convalescent home,” said Johnson, a co-chair for one of the study’s advisory boards.

Among study participants, substance abuse and issues with mental health were common and predated becoming homeless. Of those surveyed, 45% reported current, regular use of cocaine, amphetamines and opioids or heavy episodic drinking. Participants described how heavy substance use contributed to losing their homes, but also how methamphetamine usage allowed them to stay alert to protect themselves from assault or theft.

Nearly half of the adults surveyed were not on a lease in the six months prior to becoming homeless, and had likely moved in with family or friends, contributing to rent when they could. Nearly a quarter cited conflict among housemates, desire for more space or not wanting to impose any longer on family and friends as primary reasons they left.

On average, people surveyed who were not on leases received only one day of warning before needing to move out.

Among people on rental lease agreements, more than 20% cited income loss or reduction as the primary reason they lost housing. “So it wasn’t so much that their housing costs increased, it’s that they could no longer keep up with it,” said Kushel.

California ranks as the most unaffordable state when it comes to housing, according to an annual report by the National Low Income Housing Coalition. A person earning an hourly minimum wage of $15.50 would have to work nearly 90 hours a week to afford the statewide average for a modest one-bedroom rental, which is nearly $1,800 a month, the coalition states.

The study was requested by Newsom’s administration, which has made addressing homelessness a priority, but the state did not fund it so didn’t play a role in analyzing data or interpreting the findings.

The report makes many recommendations, including deep expansion of rental assistance and pilot programs to facilitate shared housing for people seeking to get out of homelessness — and a rental stipend program for people living temporarily with family or friends.

Johnson said she hopes the public will find the report’s findings to be evidence that tax dollars are being put to good use in social safety net spending. She also hopes that people will support robust mental health and addiction treatment services along with affordable housing options.

“I don’t want to set anyone up for failure,” she said. “And I’m sure many of my peers can agree that folks need time to practice going back to, like, regular society life.”

The post New examine says excessive housing prices, low earnings push Californians into homelessness appeared first on DAILY SAN FRANCISCO BAY NEWS.

Während einige Kalifornier neue Horizonte im Visier haben, tauschen sie weiterhin ihre Sonnenuntergänge im Pazifik gegen Sonnenaufgänge in Texas ein. Ein neuer Bericht untersucht einen spürbaren Migrationstrend der Kalifornier in den Lone Star State – einschließlich der zunehmenden Anziehungskraft Nordtexas.

In einer Zeit voller Berichte und Umfragen kann es schwierig sein, das Signal vom Lärm zu unterscheiden. StorageCafe, eine Schwesterabteilung des Forschungsunternehmens Yardi Matrix, hat seine neuesten Erkenntnisse auf die Beweggründe, Demografie und wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen dessen konzentriert, was es als „Texodus“ bezeichnet.

Laut StorageCafe hat sich die Migration von Kalifornien nach Texas zur führenden zwischenstaatlichen Umsiedlungsroute in den USA entwickelt

Die Route „Texodus“ ist überfüllt

„Texodus wird nicht nur nicht langsamer, sondern die Route wird auch immer überfüllter und nimmt im Jahr 2021 im Vergleich zu den Zahlen von einem Jahrzehnt zuvor um satte 80 % zu“, sagte Yardi gegenüber Dallas Innovates.

Im Jahr 2021 zogen etwa 111.000 Menschen von Kalifornien nach Texas. Um das ins rechte Licht zu rücken: Wenn alle Kalifornier, die in einem Jahr in den Lone Star State ziehen, eine eigene Stadt gründen würden, wäre diese ungefähr so ​​groß wie Richardson, Carrollton oder Frisco in Nordtexas.

Zuwandernde Millennials

Bemerkenswert ist, dass Millennials einen erheblichen Teil der Auswanderer ausmachten und etwa die Hälfte der Migrationen von Kalifornien nach Texas ausmachten.

Der Studie zufolge verfügen diese Millennials über ein überdurchschnittliches jährliches Haushaltseinkommen von 114.000 US-Dollar. Diese Zahl übersteigt das landesweite Durchschnittseinkommen der Millennials um 21 %, das bei 94.000 US-Dollar pro Jahr liegt.

Die migrierenden Millennials haben die Landkreise Dallas, Austin und Houston im Visier. Der Reiz dieser texanischen Reiseziele für migrierende Millennials liegt in den vielversprechenden Beschäftigungsaussichten in Branchen wie Technologie, Finanzen, Bildung und Gesundheitswesen, stellt StorageCafe fest.

Laut der Studie stach Santa Clara nach Dallas County unter den verschiedenen Migrationsrouten als die finanziell vorteilhafteste für Hauskäufer hervor und bot erhebliche Einsparungen bei einem Unterschied von 258 % bei den Listenpreisen (410.000 US-Dollar in Dallas County gegenüber 1.467.000 US-Dollar in Santa Clara). Das ist eine Ersparnis von mehr als 1 Million US-Dollar.

Die Migration sei keine Einbahnstraße, betonen die Forscher. Im Jahr 2021 machten rund 33.000 Texaner Kalifornien zu ihrer Heimat. Aber „Texaner ziehen tendenziell in viel geringerer Zahl nach Kalifornien“, so StorageCafe.

Erhalten Sie mehr für Ihr Immobilienbudget

Die Analyse der Studie basiert laut StorageCafe auf dem IPUMS Survey Documentation and Analysis (SDA)-Tool, das integrierte Volkszählungs- und Umfragedaten bereitstellt. Die IPUMS-Daten, die vom Institute for Social Research and Data Innovation an der University of Minnesota gesammelt wurden, bieten eine Grundlage für die Ergebnisse der Studie. Es enthält auch Daten aus Yardi Matrix, Point2 und The Cost of Living Index, veröffentlicht vom Council for Community and Economic Research (C2ER).

Doug Ressler, Business Intelligence Manager bei Yardi Matrix, beleuchtet den Migrationstrend nach Texas und weist darauf hin, dass Inflation und finanzielle Belastungen aufgrund steigender Ausgaben die Migrationsmuster bestimmen. Viele Menschen sind auf der Suche nach erschwinglicherem Wohnraum und überqueren auf der Suche nach geeigneten Optionen Stadt- und Staatsgrenzen.

„Migrationsmuster hängen eng mit der Dynamik der Wirtschaft in der Welt nach der Pandemie zusammen“, sagte er in einer Erklärung. Da die Inflation den Menschen weiterhin Sorgen bereitet, „scheint der Umzug an Orte, die den Geldbeutel schonen, die offensichtliche Lösung zu sein, da viele Menschen Stadt- und Staatsgrenzen überschreiten, um einen geeigneteren Wohnort zu finden.“

„Kalifornien ist mittlerweile ein regelmäßiger Exporteur von Menschen, insbesondere nach Texas.“

Professor Rogelio Saenz von der University of Texas in San Antonio hob ebenfalls den zunehmenden Trend hervor, dass Kalifornier nach Texas ziehen. „Kalifornien ist jetzt ein regelmäßiger Exporteur von Menschen, insbesondere nach Texas“, sagte er und wies darauf hin, dass die zunehmende Möglichkeit der Fernarbeit während der Pandemie dazu geführt hat, dass viele Menschen, insbesondere aus Städten mit hohen Kosten wie Los Angeles und San Francisco, mehr suchen bezahlbare Lebensbedingungen in Texas.

Laut Saenz hat Texas im Laufe des 20. Jahrhunderts mehr zwischenstaatliche Migranten aus Kalifornien aufgenommen als jeder andere Staat. Der Professor zitierte Daten der American Community Survey, die auf einen Anstieg der Zahl der Kalifornier, die zwischen 2016 und 2021 nach Texas ziehen, um 36 % schließen lassen, und nannte hohe Immobilienpreise und hohe Lebenshaltungskosten in Kalifornien als Hauptgründe für diesen Trend.

Laut Saenz sind Menschen, die von Kalifornien nach Texas ziehen, typischerweise jung, mit einem Durchschnittsalter von 29 Jahren, und oft gut ausgebildet. Die demografische Aufteilung lässt darauf schließen, dass es sich bei diesen Migranten überwiegend um Weiße und Asiaten handelt, obwohl auch lateinamerikanische und schwarze Kalifornier einen erheblichen Anteil ausmachen.

Top-Bericht zum Mitnehmen

Ressler von Yardi stellte fest, dass Dallas County mit rund 45.000 Zuzügen zu den drei Landkreisen in Texas gehörte, die im Jahr 2021 die höchste Zahl an Neuankömmlingen verzeichneten. Harris County lag mit rund 69.000 Neuankömmlingen an der Spitze, gefolgt von Bexar County mit 48.000.

Er sagte, die meisten Neuankömmlinge in allen drei Landkreisen kämen aus Kalifornien.

In Bezug auf den Prozentsatz des Bevölkerungswachstums gehörte Kaufman County im Norden von Texas (7,5 %) neben Garza County (7,8 %) und Comal County (6,9 %) zu den drei führenden Countys, sagte Ressler.

Vorläufige Daten aus den Schätzungen des US Census Bureau für 2022 zählten neben den Landkreisen Rockwall und Parker auch Kaufman zu den Landkreisen mit den größten Bevölkerungszuwächsen im Vergleich zu 2021.

Die zusammenfassende Analyse der Landkreise im Norden von Texas zeigt:

• Im Jahr 2021 zogen rund 25.000 Kalifornier in die Landkreise Dallas, Tarrant, Collin und Denton im Norden von Texas. Damit zählen alle diese Landkreise im Norden von Texas zu den 15 beliebtesten Reisezielen für Kalifornier im Bundesstaat. Los Angeles County war der „Hauptlieferant“ neuer Einwohner, gefolgt von den Countys Orange und San Diego.
• Ein Hauptgrund für den Umzug ist, dass Wohnraum in Nordtexas 80 % günstiger ist als in Los Angeles. Dies führt zu einer Preislücke von etwa 392.000 US-Dollar.
• Die Miete in Texas ist im Allgemeinen über 50 % günstiger als in Kalifornien, außer für diejenigen, die von LA nach Collin County ziehen.
• Der Umzug von Los Angeles nach Collin County bietet den meisten zusätzlichen Platz: über 1.000 Quadratfuß mehr für Hausbesitzer und 124 Quadratfuß mehr für Mieter.
• Häuser in Texas sind normalerweise 17 % größer als die in Kalifornien. Die Wohnungen sind etwa 6 % größer.

Zwei Umzugsrouten von Kalifornien nach Texas können zu Einsparungen von über 1 Million US-Dollar führen

Der Kauf eines Hauses in Dallas statt in San Jose kann bei einer Transplantation durchschnittlich mehr als 1 Million US-Dollar einsparen. Dies liegt daran, dass Häuser in Dallas 258 % günstiger sind als die in Santa Clara, heißt es in der Studie.

Der nächste signifikante Preisunterschied besteht zwischen den Landkreisen San Mateo und Travis mit einem Unterschied von 243 %. Laut StorageCafe könnten Eigenheimkäufer dadurch durchschnittlich fast 1,3 Millionen US-Dollar einsparen.

Aber wie Professor Saenz betont, hat der Zustrom von Kaliforniern unbeabsichtigt zu steigenden Immobilienpreisen in Texas beigetragen.

Während Wohnraum in Texas nach wie vor deutlich erschwinglicher ist als in Kalifornien, verzeichnete der Staat zwischen 2016 und 2021 einen Anstieg des durchschnittlichen Eigenheimwerts um 30 %, wobei kalifornische Transplantierte in Häusern mit höherem Wert leben als einheimische Texaner und Migranten aus anderen Bundesstaaten.

Potenzielle Einsparungen für Mieter von mehr als 1.000 US-Dollar pro Monat

Laut der Studie ist es für Mieter möglich, in den Top-25-Reisezielen von Texas bezahlbar zu leben. Mieter müssen nicht mehr als 25 % für die Miete ausgeben, außer diejenigen, die von San Diego nach Dallas ziehen.

Insgesamt zeigen die Daten, dass die Miete in Texas im Vergleich zu Kalifornien günstiger ist, basierend auf Daten zur Durchschnittsmiete. Wenn Sie beispielsweise von Santa Clara nach Dallas County ziehen, könnten Sie 1.472 US-Dollar einsparen, während die Miete von 3.034 US-Dollar auf 1.562 US-Dollar sinkt. Ebenso kann ein Umzug von San Diego nach Tarrant Country 1.238 US-Dollar einsparen, da die Miete von 2.683 US-Dollar auf 1.445 US-Dollar sinkt.

Der Umzug von Los Angeles County nach El Paso County könnte mit einer Mietdifferenz von 154 % und einer Ersparnis von etwa 1.580 US-Dollar pro Monat die höchsten Einsparungen bringen. Die nächsten großen Einsparungen ergeben sich aus dem Umzug von San Diego nach San Antonio, wo Mieter aufgrund einer Mietdifferenz von 110 % rund 1.470 US-Dollar pro Monat sparen können.

Auf 18 der in der Studie hervorgehobenen Umzugsrouten können Menschen in Texas im Vergleich zu ihrem kalifornischen Herkunftsbezirk über 1.000 US-Dollar pro Monat sparen.

Was die Größe betrifft, Ein Umzug von Orange County (mit einer durchschnittlichen Wohnungsgröße von fast 870 Quadratfuß) in die Countys Travis oder Dallas in Texas kann der Studie zufolge zu etwas weniger Wohnraum für Mieter führen. Wohnungen in den beiden texanischen Landkreisen bieten im Durchschnitt etwa 860 Quadratmeter Fläche.

Hausbesitzer haben in Texas große Erfolge

Wie bereits erwähnt, sind Häuser in Texas 17 % größer als die in Kalifornien, während Wohnungen in Texas etwa 6 % größer sind.

Ein Umzug von Los Angeles in die Countys Collin oder Denton in Texas kann für Menschen, die mehr Platz suchen, erhebliche Vorteile bringen. Der Studie zufolge könnte ein Umzug von Los Angeles nach Collin County den größten Wohnraumgewinn bringen. Dort gewinnen Hausbesitzer zusätzliche 1.055 Quadratfuß, während Mieter zusätzliche 124 Quadratfuß erhalten.

Ein Umzug von Los Angeles nach Denton County könnte zu einer Vergrößerung der durchschnittlichen Wohngröße um 935 Quadratfuß führen.

Es überrascht nicht, dass die StorageCafe-Studie auch auf eine weitere Auswirkung des Migrationstrends in DFW hinweist: einen boomenden Self-Storage-Markt. Deutlich besser schneidet Texas im Self-Storage-Bereich ab, mit über 10,3 Quadratmetern Lagerfläche pro Person, stellt das Unternehmen fest. Kalifornien hingegen hinkt mit 6,3 Quadratfuß Lagerfläche pro Kopf hinterher. Diese beträchtliche Lagerkapazität unterstreicht die Reaktion auf die wachsende Nachfrage von Einzelpersonen und Familien, die nach Texas ziehen – und entspricht den Bedürfnissen von Neuankömmlingen.

Wird sich der Umzugstrend fortsetzen?

Professor Saenz geht davon aus, dass dieser Migrationstrend aufgrund der anhaltenden Ungleichheit bei den Immobilienpreisen und Lebenshaltungskosten zwischen Kalifornien und Texas wahrscheinlich anhalten wird.

„In den ersten zwei Jahrzehnten des 21. Jahrhunderts war die Bewegung der Menschen, die Kalifornien nach Texas verließen, gut etabliert“, sagte er. „Kein anderer Staat hat in dieser Zeit mehr Migranten nach Texas geschickt als Kalifornien. Die kontinuierlich steigenden Immobilienpreise und Lebenshaltungskosten in Kalifornien sowie die viel höhere Erschwinglichkeit in Texas werden in den kommenden Jahrzehnten wahrscheinlich den erheblichen Zustrom von Kaliforniern nach Texas aufrechterhalten.“

Die vollständige Studie von StorageCafe finden Sie hier:

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The results are in: As California experienced its three driest years on record, urban water users made significant efforts to conserve water, but fell far short of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s call for a 15% reduction in their use.

Between July 2021, when Newsom first called on water users to voluntarily save water, and March this year, when he withdrew that call amid a very wet winter, the nationwide savings were 7%, about half the required amount. That equates to about 9 fewer gallons per person per day, according to an analysis by the Los Angeles Times.

Results varied significantly by region and water district, with the North Coast and San Francisco Bay areas saving the most water compared to the 2020 base year — 14% and 12%, respectively. The inland regions of Tulare Lake and Colorado River saved at least 4% and 2%, respectively. (The analysis did not include agricultural water use.)

State officials say the numbers belie the long-term conservation efforts Californians have made over the past few decades, including significant savings during the 2012-16 drought that ended just a few years before Newsom’s request.

However, they also recognized that there is significant room for improvement. Residential consumption nationwide averaged about 85 gallons per person per day. For comparison, Californians would have used 79 gallons per day if they reduced their consumption by 15%.

“We can definitely do better,” said Charlotte Ely, conservation officer with the State Water Resources Control Board.

In July 2021, California experienced one of the most devastating droughts in about two years. Fifty counties were on a drought emergency as Newsom stood in front of a receding Lake Lopez in San Luis Obispo County and urged residents to reduce their water use by 15%.

Newsom withdrew the call March 24 this year after multiple atmospheric flows refilled reservoirs and dropped record and near-record snowpack in the Sierra, significantly alleviating drought conditions across the state.

But many experts have criticized Newsom’s voluntary stance during the drought, arguing that he should have made cuts mandatory, like his predecessor Jerry Brown, who ordered a 25% cut during the 2012-16 drought. Residents narrowly met this goal, reducing water use by 24.5%.

The Newsom administration said it was more focused on targeted drought responses based on local conditions than on a “one-size-fits-all approach” that couldn’t account for past investments in conservation or key drivers of water use like climate.

“Seven percent is still an impressive number considering that’s happened in less than two years and it’s on top of the water savings the state has maintained since the last drought,” Ely said. “And so I think what we’ve seen over the past decade is really a success story in conservation.”

However, some experts say the results are evidence that more could have been done.

“The numbers are disappointing as they represent just under half of what was called for,” said Heather Cooley, director of research at the Pacific Institute, a water think tank.

A 2022 report by the institute found that Californians could reduce their water use by 30% to 48% by adopting a variety of existing technologies, efficiency standards, and water-saving landscaping. Indoor use might be as little as 25 to 35 gallons per person per day, Cooley said.

She attributed the state’s overall lackluster response to the governor’s voluntary appeal, saying the messages were inconsistent and often opaque as to the seriousness of the situation.

“I think it was potentially a recipe for disaster,” Cooley said. “If it had been another dry winter, we would have really wished we had gone to the compulsory event [restrictions] last year because it would help us conserve the limited water we had and expand it even further.”

Still, the effort seemed to be working better in some areas than others. The analysis found that the South Coast region, which includes Los Angeles and half of the state’s population, reduced water use by 6%, or about 7 fewer gallons per person per day.

In June 2022, as the drought worsened, the region’s major water wholesaler, the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, ordered unprecedented restrictions on areas dependent on the State Water Project, a vast network of canals and pipelines that drain water Northern California transported to farmland and southern cities.

Largely in response to cut allocations from the state, the order included a 35% reduction in water use for nearly 7 million people in parts of Los Angeles, Ventura and San Bernardino counties.

Communities were able to “reduce their water use to the point of running out of available water supplies for nine months until restrictions were lifted in March,” said Brad Coffey, manager of MWD’s Water Resource Management group.

Though the region managed to expand tight supplies, Coffey noted that operating under emergency restrictions was seen as a last resort and “not a sign of success.”

“We’ve been working to prepare for a changing climate for years, but these changes are coming even sooner than predicted and we need to adapt quickly,” he said.

The agency is working towards more sustainable reductions in water use through investments in new infrastructure and local utilities, and promoting more water-efficient landscapes, irrigation systems and indoor sanitation and appliance installations, he said.

In response to the MWD’s order, one of its largest clients, the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, chose to place its entire service area of ​​approximately 4 million people two days per week under irrigation restrictions to comply or under a volumetric Allocation during drought.

According to the DWP, the attempt was successful.

“LADWP has been able to stay under the MWD volume allotment, which ran from June 2022 to March 2023, each month through the tireless efforts of our customers and employees,” spokeswoman Mia Rose-Wong said in an email.

However, the DWP fell nowhere near the 15% reduction required by Newsom, with cumulative savings of 5%, or 5 gallons per person per day, the analysis found.

Rose-Wong said customers have made aggressive efforts toward efficiency over the past three decades, making it increasingly difficult for our customers to reduce daily gallons per person.

“Nonetheless, we’re proud of the response from our customers who are diligent in maintaining their water-saving habits as water use has fallen by over 30% over the past 15 years,” said Rose-Wong.

She added that to track its savings, the DWP uses a 12-month rolling average to account for changes in population and weather throughout the year. LA’s 12-month moving average for residential, commercial and industrial occupants rose from 113 gallons per person per day in July 2021 to “below 105” gallons in March. For comparison, the same 12-month moving average nationwide was 126 gallons, she said.

However, not all of the Los Angeles area was so successful.

El Segundo used 25% more water between July 2021 and March, more than any other county in the state. City officials said the high consumption was largely due to a massive wastewater spill at the Hyperion treatment plant in 2021. The spill resulted in lost production of recycled water, which had to be replaced with potable water for several months.

The Humboldt Bay Urban Water District in far northern California was technically the highest-performing district in the state, reducing its water use by 41%. But director-general John Friedenbach said the numbers were somewhat skewed because the biggest water user, an electric utility, went offline in 2022. The rest of the district’s savings are “pretty average,” he said.

The second-largest saver in the state, the city of Healdsburg in Sonoma County, saw a 35% drop. Long touted as an example of efficient water conservation, Healdsburg has achieved significant savings through residential water caps, a recycled water transportation program, a near-total ban on outdoor irrigation, and other conservation efforts.

But while the wet winter gave California some much-needed respite, experts and officials said now is not the time for residents to relax. While extreme precipitation is becoming more common, the region as a whole is becoming hotter and drier due to climate change.

“People might wonder why we should care about conserving when Tulare Lake has re-formed, and I think it’s really just because we’re aware that we face these long-term challenges.” , said Ely of the state water agency. She found that hotter, drier conditions could result in a 10% drop in existing water supplies by 2040.

“And so all the water-saving habits we’ve cultivated over the last decade will continue to serve us well in the face of long-term drought,” she said.

The state is working to roll out its new framework, “Making Conservation a California Way of Life,” Ely said, which will set unique goals for its more than 400 retail urban water suppliers and, among other things, help drive long-term savings efforts across the state.

The state legislature is also considering two bills that could result in further savings, including one that would ban the use of potable water for some ornamental grasses and another that would force non-residential projects to switch to low-water and local native plants.

But California will also face significant cuts in one of its lifelines, the shrinking Colorado River, in the coming years.

The Pacific Institute’s Cooley said these cuts, along with projections for drier conditions, mean maintaining efficiency and a conservation ethos are critical to California and the West.

“We must continue to push for efficiency so that we make the most of the resources we have now,” she said, “and prepare for the next drought that may be imminent.”

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SACRAMENTO — Count another dent in Donald Trump’s once-impenetrable armor: California Republicans are no longer marching in unwavering lockstep behind him — and some are saying so publicly for the first time.

Her preferred alternative: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

“I’m leaning toward DeSantis,” Rep. Tom McClintock, of R-Elk Grove, Sacramento County, told The Chronicle at the three-day California Republican Party convention that ended Sunday. “He’s offering all of Donald Trump’s policies without the drama.”

McClintock is believed to be the first member of the 12-member California GOP House delegation to publicly support DeSantis and, perhaps more importantly, break with Trump. But he wasn’t the only member of the delegation to drop support for the former president. Rep. Doug LaMalfa, R-Richvale (Butte County), who represents some of the most conservative parts of California where Trump is popular, told The Chronicle he was undecided.

Their voices — like those of other California Republicans — will carry unusual weight in this presidential campaign, which is in full swing with DeSantis’ visit to Iowa on Friday, Trump’s landing on Monday and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley already visiting .

While California’s Republican Party is virtually powerless within the state — a Republican has not won a statewide office since 2006, and Democrats hold a supermajority in the legislature — Republican voters will enjoy an intergenerational opportunity to make their voices heard in next year’s presidential campaign To provide.

Ballots will arrive in California mailboxes in the second week of February for the March 5 state primary. The last time there was a GOP open field was in 2016, Trump completed the nomination when Californians cast their ballot in June.

This time, however, candidates must run in California if they want to win the GOP nomination. In the 2016 open primary, California provided the largest number of delegates (172) and will probably do so again.

The weekend’s state convention provided the party’s leaders and grassroots activists – the people who do the political grunt work of a campaign – the first opportunity to speak their minds.

Often her silence said the most.

Even if Republicans did not publicly support DeSantis — who is not yet an official candidate — many did not knee-jerkly support Trump, which would have been viewed as heresy in previous election cycles.

Instead, DeSantis has shown his power in California in other ways.

Fred Whitaker, chairman of the influential Orange County Republican Party Chapter, saw the power of DeSantis in action this month when the Florida governor led a fundraiser there that drew 900 people and raised $742,000 for the local party. Whitaker called it “the greatest event the Orange County Republican Party has ever had.”

“That showed me that there is tremendous interest in 2024,” he said. “And there’s tremendous interest in Governor DeSantis.” Whitaker, who is not engaged in the presidential race, said DeSantis’ accomplishment was even more impressive because Whitaker had just one month to complete the annual fundraiser instead of the typical five to plan.

“People are ready for something different,” Whitaker said.

Look no further than the 2020 results in Orange County, arguably California’s toughest battleground region. Republican Representatives Michelle Steel, R-Seal Beach and Young Kim, R-Fullerton each received a higher share of the vote (51%) than Trump (44%).

“I read the voters,” Whitaker said as he assessed DeSantis’ growing strength, “and I read the donors.”

Ivy League-educated DeSantis (with a bachelor’s degree from Yale University and a law degree from Harvard Law School) connects with the party’s “intellectual conservative base,” Whitaker said, “but he’s also a tough person,” which “will push back .”

“So many of our constituents who are close to President Trump say, ‘I don’t want a woke country,’ and they like someone who’s willing to hit back,” Whitaker said. “Governor DeSantis has this unique ability to marry the two different wings.”

It is revealing that even longtime Californian Trump supporters do not reflexively back a candidate. That includes Harmeet Dhillon, the San Francisco attorney who ran for Republican National Committee chair this year and lost to incumbent Ronna McDaniel. DeSantis kick-started Dhillon’s RNC presidential campaign by praising her on the eve of the vote, saying the party needs “fresh blood.” Returning the praise at Congress, Dhillon said voters like him because “he’s a very impressive governor.”

That’s kudos from Dhillon, an attorney who still represents Trump in a few legal cases across the country.

“He’s conservative. He is effective. He has a good track record in his state. Not only do people like his rhetoric, they like his results,” DeSantis’ Dhillon told me. “So I think he’s a natural choice for someone looking for the next generation of Republican leaders. But when it comes to rhetoric and politics, he’s not that different from Trump. And I think in that sense they’re both competing for the same voters.”

Gonzalo Vergara is a two-time Trump voter, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel who lives in El Dorado County and said he supports DeSantis.

“I think Trump had his four years and he could have done better than what he did,” Vergara, 68, told me.

“It’s kind of a hard-to-swallow dish,” Vergara said. “I don’t think he can win because I think there are more people who are against him because they don’t like him. It would give the Democratic Party, whoever they nominate, a win by default.”

Steve Frank, a longtime California Conservative chronicler and 2019 party presidential candidate, has seen the momentum swing toward DeSantis during the 75 speeches Frank delivers annually to Republican clubs across the state.

“Many of the people who were previously Trump are publicly saying they are dating Trump. Privately, much of this state’s conservative leadership will go with DeSantis,” Frank said.

Not only do they like DeSantis’ likely campaign mantra — “In Florida, waking is to die for” — they like that he backs it with legislation and opposes what they see as the tyrants of the left and the media.

“They say that not only is this a guy who could hold his own against the Democrats, but also against people like Putin and Xi,” Frank said, referring to Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. “They see him as President.”

Grassroots support buoyed a February Berkeley IGS poll in California that showed DeSantis leading a field of 11 current and potential GOP candidates with 37% of the Republican vote, followed by Trump at 29% and Haley at 7%.

LaMalfa, the congressman representing a district where Trump received 58% of the vote in 2020, told me that “Trump still has the nomination to lose.”

But LaMalfa, who has endorsed Trump twice before, has not yet decided who he will endorse in 2024. He advised Trump not to get bogged down in attacks on his challengers.

“He needs to focus on his race and not worry about what the other contestants are doing,” LaMalfa told me. “You don’t have to run at DeSantis; You don’t have to go after Nikki Haley.” He also said that given his popularity in that part of California, voters in his part of the state don’t want DeSantis to attack Trump.

“DeSantis is a great candidate, but I think Ron would be wise not to confuse it with Trump,” LaMalfa said.

Trump still has fans here. The party was considering a resolution to support Trump in negotiations to end the war between Ukraine and Russia. On Sunday, however, 75% of the congress participants rejected it.

Joan Leone, president of the Republican Club of San Francisco, still supports Trump. She said, “DeSantis is great, but I don’t want him to leave Florida right now,” for fear it might fall into Democrat hands. And Leone has a wish for Trump.

“He has to completely forget what happened in 2020,” Leone said. “He doesn’t have to have cute little names for the other candidates. Focus on what he did (as President) because I loved my 401(k) when Trump was President.”

Younger Republicans are also waiting.

“We’re waiting to see who comes out,” said David Chan, a 20-year-old UC Berkeley student and leader of the College Republicans of California, who voted for Trump last time.

Other Republicans remain nervous about expressing their preference for anyone.

“It’s a pretty tricky time right now and nobody wants their name in block letters,” said Scott Woodworth, a San Jose resident who chairs the California Young Republicans Federation. “The party is still working on the vision and direction in which it wants to go. You have different factions and we will see which will win.”

Even Marty Miller, who sold Trump T-shirts and pins at the convention, hedged his bets. He peddled DeSantis buttons next to those that read, “Presidents Are Temporary/Trump Is Forever.”

Miller is a Trump supporter. What gives?

Said Miller, “I’m a capitalist, baby.”

Reach Joe Garofoli: jgarofoli@sfchronicle.com; Twitter: @joegarofoli

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It’s no secret that recent movers have preferred moving to Florida. Recent data from the Florida Department of Motor Vehicles shows that people from New York, New Jersey and California are among the states with the most people applying for a Florida driver’s license. In fact, according to the New York Post, the data showed that around 30,000 Californians applied for a Florida license in 2022.

Economist Vance Ginn thinks he knows one of the main reasons Californians come to Florida, and he thinks it’s driven in part by saving money, as follows.

Cheaper housing through fewer barriers to real estate development: Ginn, chief economist at the Pelican Institute for Public Policy, recently co-authored an opinion piece in the Washington Examiner. In it he set out his argument that the primary motivation for relocating Californians to Florida and Texas was housing affordability, writing in part:

“Housing affordability has been a major factor that has propelled Californians to states like Texas and Florida where they can realistically afford the American dream of home ownership.”

Ginn goes on to explain that Florida and Texas have cheaper housing because they implement fewer “bureaucratic bottlenecks” for real estate development, writing:

Florida did a good job winning the war on over-regulation to make room for more housing… It’s not complicated: The states and cities that will prosper in the coming decade will be the ones that have a less-regulated housing market allow, i.e. the amount of apartments on offer can efficiently cover the amount demanded.”

US News & World Report concluded that California is the most regulated state in America. And although Ginn’s article is written as an opinion piece, there is some evidence to support some of her claims, as follows.

California has 4 of the 10 most expensive cities in the United States: According to a 2022 study by Rocket Mortgage, the markets of San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Jose and San Diego were among the 10 most expensive cities in the United States and accounted for nearly half of the nation’s most expensive places to live.

In general, living in California is much more expensive than living in Florida: Although Florida’s real estate markets have risen dramatically, they still compare favorably to California.

According to Zillow, the median home value in Florida is $404,939. In California, the same figure is $760,644. So while some Floridians and those looking to buy a home in Florida lament the rising real estate markets, someone coming from California might see Florida real estate prices as a bargain.

Differences in State Income Tax: Although Ginn’s writings did not address differences in state income taxes, there are key differences between these two states that affect the cost of living.

California state income tax ranges from 1% to 12.3% and sales tax ranges from 7.25% to 10.75%. Florida has no state income tax and the sales tax rate is 6%.

The post Californians are Transferring to Florida Because of Reasonably priced Housing and Fewer Constructing Laws, Based on an Economist | L. Cane appeared first on DAILY SAN FRANCISCO BAY NEWS.

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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis took aim at San Francisco, calling the city a “dumpster fire” while expressing fears about what would happen if companies there relocated to Florida.

“There is cause for concern,” DeSantis said during an event Monday. “Texas would have all these companies moved from California over the years. So you’d have companies move from San Francisco to Austin, and they’d bring hundreds of employees with them. And those employees would vote the exact same way they voted that turned San Francisco into the dumpster fire that it is.”

DNC CHAIR JAIME HARRISON CALLS FLORIDA GOV. DESANTIS ‘THE LITTLE DEVIL’

DeSantis expressed fears that California voters could begin moving to Florida, saying they fail to make the connection between “leftist” policies and the problems they left behind.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis
(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

“It’s like the leftism, they will not draw the connection between their leftist ideology and the destruction that’s all around them,” DeSantis said. “It’s a problem because I do think there’s a class of voters who would come to Florida, and they would continue to vote the same way.”

The Republican governor’s comments come as many high-profile companies and entrepreneurs in the technology industry have either expressed interest in, or already have, moved from California to Texas and Florida.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis
(Fox News)

Among the most high-profile movers was Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who moved from California to Texas last year and has publicly floated the idea of ​​moving Tesla’s headquarters with him. While a Tesla move to Texas hasn’t happened yet, the company has invested in a large facility close to Austin and appears poised to make Texas a priority.

Elon Musk McNamee/Getty Images)
(Win McNamee/Getty Images)

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The comments also come at the same time as Musk officially made a deal to purchase Twitter, another high-profile company currently with headquarters in California.

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Portland has had a rough couple of years, and as a result its national reputation has taken a beating. The New York Times is no longer offering up paeans, as it did in 2014, to Portland hipsters: “bearded, on skateboards, brewing kombucha.” This is now the “Anarchist Jurisdiction.”

And yet people are still moving to the Rose City.

Where are these fearless newcomers coming from? As in those bygone days when everything about Portland was cool and charming, they’re mostly decamping from larger, more expensive cities in other states or from smaller Oregon locales, the latter likely being driven by the traditional migration of young adults to the closest ” big city” to make their mark on the world.

Portland, with about 667,000 people, is the 26th largest city in the US, up from 29th in 2010.

To give some shape to this continuing, if diminished, upward population trend, the rankings website Stacker has used US Census Bureau data to estimate the number of people who’ve moved to Portland in the past handful of years. Below are the top 10 metro areas “sending the most people to Portland.”

10.San Jose, Calif.

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 2,173

9. New York City

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 2,250

8. Corvallis

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 2,368

7.San Diego

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 2,803

6.Phoenix

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 2,939

5. Eugene

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 3,130

4. San Francisco

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 4,217

3.Los Angeles

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 5,101

2.Seattle

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 6,251

1. Salem

Residents moved to Portland 2015-2019: 6,969

–Douglas Perry

dperry@oregonian.com

@douglasmperry

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Californians: Help or hurt Texas?

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Californians are packing up and moving to Texas in droves. These transplants come for a variety of reasons — lower housing costs, the lack of a state income tax, and the pull of innovative industries from aerospace to technology. They also drive up real estate prices and bring big ideas on regulation, politics and education. How’s all this going for the Texans?

Join the Texas Tribune noon Central on Friday February 11th, for a provocative talk, “Californian: Are They Helping or Hurting Texas?”

Tribune Editor-in-Chief Sewell Chan moderates a conversation Kenneth P Miller, Rose Professor of State and Local Government and Director of the Rose Institute; Alexandra SuchBass, senior politics, technology and society correspondent for The Economist; Ben Rowen, Associate Editor for Texas Monthly; Jennifer Mercieca, Professor of Communications at Texas A&M University; and Sergio Garcia Rios, Assistant Professor of Government and Latino Studies at Cornell University; about what the influx of Californians means for the economy, population and politics in Texas.

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Sign up for the interview here

Through our speakers

Miller is Rose Professor of State and Local Government and Director of the Rose Institute at Claremont McKenna College. He is the author of Texas vs. California: A History of Their Struggle for the Future of America, published in 2020.

Suich Bass is senior correspondent for The Economist on politics, technology and society, covering a range of political and public issues. She is the author of a special report published in June 2019 arguing that America’s future can be understood by studying California and Texas. Previously, she ran The Economist’s coverage of technology in America for four years from San Francisco.

Rowen is the assistant news and politics editor at Texas Monthly. He recently published a story called “The Case for More Californians,” which encouraged Texans to accept California transplants. Before joining Texas Monthly, Rowen worked as an editor and fact-checker at Pacific Standard and The Atlantic.

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Mercieca is a professor of communications at Texas A&M University, where she writes about American political discourse, particularly as it relates to citizenship, democracy, and the presidency. She is the author of Demagogue for President: The Rhetorical Genius of Donald Trump, published in 2020.

Garcia-Rios is an assistant professor of government and Latino studies at Cornell University. His main research interests are voter turnout, political participation and public opinion, particularly among Latino immigrants.

Chan joined The Texas Tribune in October as Editor-in-Chief. He was previously assistant editor and then editor of the editorial page of the Los Angeles Times, where he oversaw reporting that won a 2021 Pulitzer Prize for Editorial Writing. Chan was a reporter and editor at The New York Times from 2004 to 2018 and began his career at the Washington Post, where he worked from 2000 to 2004.

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The conversation will also be available on-demand after the event at texastribune.org/events.

Tribune events are also supported by contributions from our founding investors and members. Although donors and corporate sponsors support Texas Tribune events, they play no role in determining the content, panellists, or questioning.

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